There have been several opinion polls conducted for the next Japanese general election is scheduled to be held in Japan by 31 October 2025, as required by the constitution.
Graphical summary LOESS curve of the party identification polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average
Party identification
2024 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP NIK KMT JCP DPP REI DIY SDP NHK FEFA Others No party Und. /no ans. Lead 24–25 Aug Asahi 1,058 26 7 2 3 2 1 1 – – – – 1 50 7 24 24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 39.1 11 4.2 3.8 3.2 1.7 2.1 0.5 0.7 – – 0.7 29.4 3.6 9.7 23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 30 6 3 2 1 1 2 – – – – – 48 7 18 17–19 Aug Kyodo News 1,064 36.7 12.3 8.5 4.2 4.2 2.8 3.3 2.3 1 0.5 0.1 0.6 17.8 5.7 18.9 17–18 Aug JX for Senkyo Dot Com 987 29.5 13.3 5.5 3.1 3 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 – 41.4 – 11.9 14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP. 5 Aug Nikkei 225 decline 2–5 Aug Jiji Press 1,194 19.9 3.7 1.8 2.2 1.3 1 0.7 0.4 0.2 – 0.1 – 65.5 3.2 45.6 3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 27.1 5.2 3.7 2.3 2.6 2 1.4 0.6 0.4 – – 0.9 48.1 5.7 21 2–4 Aug NHK 1,199 29.9 5.2 2.4 3.3 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 – 0.3 45.7 8.1 15.8 26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 32 10 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 – – 1 35 3 3 20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 25.1 6.1 2.6 2.8 4.1 1.3 2.7 1 0.5 – – – 51.1 2.7 26 20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 33.1 10.1 6.6 3 3.2 4.7 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.8 2 30 2 3.1 20–21 Jul Mainichi 1,020 21 14 8 4 5 4 5 – – – – – 33 6 12 20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 20 7 6 3 2 4 3 1 – – – 1 54 – 34 19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 24 5 5 3 2 1 1 – 1 – – – 54 4 30 13–14 Jul Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.2 2.5 4.6 1.9 1.7 1.7 3.4 0.7 – 0.2 – – 74.1 – 64.9 13–14 Jul JX for Senkyo Dot Com 987 25.9 12.2 4.9 3.5 7.2 1 1.2 1.3 1 0.7 0.1 – 40.9 – 15 13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 35.2 9.5 5.5 4.7 4 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.6 – – 1.6 31.4 3.3 3.8 5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 16 6.3 2.7 2.5 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.4 – – – 64.1 3.7 48.1 6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 24.1 7.4 4.3 2.6 2.1 1.6 3.4 0.6 0.6 – 0.4 0.6 47.8 4.5 23.7 5–7 Jul NHK 1,211 28.4 5.2 3.6 3.1 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 – – 0.6 47.2 6 18.8 28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 31 9 9 3 4 2 2 1 – – – 1 33 – 2 22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 18 10 6 2 2 3 2 1 1 – – 1 52 2 34 22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 18 17 8 4 6 4 5 1 1 – – – 32 4 14 22–23 Jun Kyodo News 1,056 26.5 11.7 7.2 2 3.4 2.7 5.1 1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.1 34.8 1.9 8.3 21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 25 6 6 3 2 2 2 – – – – 1 47 6 22 15–16 Jun Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 11.1 2.4 4.6 1.9 1.1 1.1 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 – – 73.8 – 62.7 15–16 Jun JX for Senkyo Dot Com 984 22.3 16.2 6.2 3.4 6 1.8 2.1 0.9 1 0.1 0.3 – 39.7 – 17.4 15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 25.5 8.1 4.4 2.6 2.1 1.5 2.3 0.3 0.5 – 0.3 1.2 47.9 3.3 22.4 15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 30.7 12.6 7.8 4.2 3.9 2.2 2.9 0.2 0.4 – – 2 30.1 3 0.6 7–10 Jun Jiji Press 1,240 16.4 4.4 2.4 3.4 1.6 1 0.9 0.2 0.1 – – – 66.8 2.8 50.4 7–9 Jun NHK 1,192 25.5 9.5 3.6 2.4 3 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 – 0.5 44 8.1 18.5 1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 23.8 7.3 4.3 3.1 3 2.3 2 1 0.2 – – 1 48.2 3.8 24.4 24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 27 12 9 5 3 2 2 1 – – – 1 33 5 6 18–19 May Mainichi 1,093 17 20 10 3 7 3 5 2 1 – – – 28 4 8 18–19 May ANN 1,045 32.5 12.9 5.9 4.8 3.2 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.9 – – 1.7 30 4 2.5 17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 27 7 4 3 2 1 3 1 – – – 1 46 5 19 11–13 May Kyodo News 1,055 24.7 12.7 7.4 3.4 4.9 4.5 3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 – 32.3 4.9 7.6 11–12 May Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.4 2.7 5 2.1 1.3 1 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.1 – 72.6 – 63.2 11–12 May JX for Senkyo Dot Com 976 23.5 17.8 4.8 3.3 6.1 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 – 40.3 – 16.8 10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 15.7 5.1 2.1 2.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.4 – 0.2 – 66.9 3.3 51.2 10–12 May NHK 1,202 27.5 6.6 4.5 3.1 3 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.7 – – 1.1 44.3 6.7 16.8 4–5 May JNN 1,013 23.4 10.2 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.3 1.8 0.3 0.2 – 0.2 1.2 46.9 3.1 23.5 29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 29 13 8 4 4 2 3 1 – – – 1 33 2 4 28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections 20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 20 15 9 3 6 4 6 – – – – – 28 9 8 19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 24 5 4 3 2 1 3 1 – – – 1 51 5 27 13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 25.1 10.9 8.1 3.5 2.5 2.3 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.9 – 35.2 4.2 10.1 13–14 Apr ANN 1,037 36 9.3 6.4 3.3 4.5 2.3 2.3 0.4 0.3 – – 1.4 29.4 4.7 6.6 13–14 Apr Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.3 3.6 5.8 1.8 1.2 1.2 3 1 0.3 0.3 – – 72.5 – 63.2 13–14 Apr JX for Senkyo Dot Com 981 24.7 15.4 4.4 2.7 5.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 – 42.5 – 17.8 5–8 Apr Jiji Press 1,200 15.3 3.8 3.5 3.6 1.6 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 – – – 66.9 2.4 51.6 5–7 Apr NHK 1,204 28.4 6.5 4.7 4 2.4 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 – 0.5 41.3 8 12.9 30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 25 6.1 4.3 2.1 2.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 – 0.1 1.4 52.9 2.6 27.9 22–24 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 925 28 11 9 3 4 3 4 1 1 – – – 34 2 6 22–24 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 23 8 5 3 2 2 2 – – – – 1 51 3 28 16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 35.5 11.1 7.5 3.2 4 1.4 3.7 0.8 0.8 – – 1.3 25.9 4.8 9.6 16–17 Mar SSRC 2,044 16 9 8 2 2 4 4 1 1 – – 1 53 – 37 16–17 Mar Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.8 3.9 4.5 2.6 1.1 1.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.1 – 72.4 – 62.6 16–17 Mar JX for Senkyo Dot Com 983 23.6 13.6 6.8 3.7 6.6 1.4 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 – 40.1 – 16.5 16–17 Mar Mainichi 997 17 13 10 3 7 4 6 – – – – – 34 6 17 16–17 Mar Asahi 1,065 22 6 4 3 3 1 4 – – – – – 56 1 34 8–11 Mar Jiji Press 1,160 17.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.6 1 1.6 0.3 0.3 – – – 64.8 1.6 47.1 9–10 Mar Kyodo News 1,043 24.5 10.1 8.9 4.1 4.7 3.1 4.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.5 – 31.3 6.1 6.8 8–11 Mar NHK 1,206 28.6 6.8 3.8 3.1 2.8 1.2 2.5 0.4 0.6 – – 0.7 42.4 7 13.8 24–25 Feb ANN 1,034 35.2 11.9 7.4 2.8 4.5 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.9 – – 1.3 26.4 4.3 8.8 23–25 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 867 25 9 8 6 3 4 3 1 1 – – 1 36 3 11 17–18 Feb SSRC 2,043 16 9 10 2 3 4 3 1 – – – 1 50 1 34 17–18 Feb Mainichi 1,024 16 16 13 3 7 5 6 1 – – – – 28 5 12 17–18 Feb Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 8.9 3.2 4.8 2.2 1 1.5 3.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 – 74.2 – 65.3 17–18 Feb JX for Senkyo Dot Com 991 23.3 12.9 6.5 3.9 6 1.5 2.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.1 – 41.8 – 18.5 16–18 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 24 5 4 4 2 2 2 – – – – – 52 5 28 10–12 Feb NHK 1,215 30.5 6.7 3.1 3.2 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 – 0.6 44 6.4 13.5 9–12 Feb Jiji Press 1,180 16.3 4.1 3.3 3.6 2.4 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 – – – 64.7 3.7 48.4 27–28 Jan JNN/Mainichi 1,049 23 14 9 3 8 4 7 2 – – – – 27 3 4 26–28 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 31 8 7 4 5 4 4 1 – – – 1 32 3 1 21 Jan SSRC 2,052 20 8 8 2 3 3 3 1 – – – 1 49 2 29 20–21 Jan ANN 1,007 34.6 8.1 8.4 4.2 6.3 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 – 1.1 29.4 3.5 5.2 19–21 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,074 25 5 5 3 2 2 3 – – – – 0 48 7 23 19 Jan Dissolution of Kōchikai,[ 1] Shisuikai[ 2] and Seiwakai [ 3] factions of the LDP. 12–14 Jan NHK 1,212 30.9 5.3 3.9 3.4 1.9 0.8 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 – 0.7 45 5.4 14.1 6–7 Jan JNN 1,209 29.1 5.5 4.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.6 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 47.2 2.3 18.1 1 Jan 2024 Noto earthquake 31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97% (election turnout) 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 – 1.7 – – 14.7
2023 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP NIK KMT JCP DPP REI DIY SDP NHK FEFA Others No party Und. /no ans. Lead 16–17 Dec JNN/Mainichi 1,080 17 14 13 3 5 4 7 2 1 – – – 31 3 14 16–17 Dec Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.3 2.2 6.1 2.9 1.8 1.1 3.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 – 72.3 – 63 16–17 Dec JX for Senkyo Dot Com 990 23.9 11.6 6.5 3.7 5.3 1 2.4 1 0.8 0.3 0.3 – 43.1 – 19.2 16–17 Dec ANN 1,011 37.1 9.9 6.1 2.3 4.6 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 2.1 29.5 3.2 7.6 16–17 Dec Kyodo News 1,018 26 9.3 12 3 3.3 5.9 3.2 1.4 1.3 0.3 1.8 – 29.1 3.4 3.1 15–17 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 28 5 5 3 2 1 2 1 – – – 1 48 4 20 15–16 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 30 9 12 3 3 2 4 1 1 – – 1 32 2 2 8–11 Dec Jiji Press 1,188 18.3 4.4 3.2 2.8 1.9 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.3 – – – 62.5 3.6 44.2 8–10 Dec NHK 1,212 29.5 7.4 4 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 – 0.2 43.3 5.1 13.8 8 Dec Slush fund scandal 25–26 Nov ANN 1,015 38.4 8.3 6.3 3.9 3.3 1.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 Did not exist 1.8 29.7 3.2 8.7 24–26 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 34 8 8 4 3 3 2 2 – – 1 30 5 4 18–19 Nov Mainichi 1,032 24 9 14 3 6 5 7 2 – – – 26 4 2 17–19 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,067 28 5 7 2 1 2 2 1 – – 1 48 3 20 11–12 Nov Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 10.5 2.3 3.9 2.2 1.7 1 2.5 1.5 0.1 0.8 – 73.5 – 63 11–12 Nov JX for Senkyo Dot Com 993 28 12 7.6 3.4 5.4 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 – 38.3 – 10.3 10–12 Nov NHK 1,224 37.7 4.7 4 3.4 2.6 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.7 38.5 4.8 0.8 22 Oct October 2023 Japan by-elections 14–15 Oct Mainichi 1,030 23 11 13 4 4 5 5 3 – – Did not exist – 27 5 4 14–15 Oct Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.6 2 5.1 1.9 1.3 1.3 2.2 1 0.1 0.4 – 75.1 – 65.5 14–15 Oct JX for Senkyo Dot Com 991 28.7 11.9 8.2 4.3 4.6 2 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.2 – 36.2 – 7.5 13–15 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,022 30 4 7 4 2 1 1 1 – – – 27 23 3 7–9 Oct NHK 1,219 36.2 5.3 4.9 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 40 5.4 3.8 6–9 Oct Jiji Press 1,176 21 3.1 3.9 3.1 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.3 – – 61.1 3.1 40.1 1 Oct SSRC 1,505 21 7 12 2 2 3 3 2 1 – 1 46 – 25 30 Sep–1 Oct JNN 1,208 31.6 5.1 5.5 2.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 – 1.3 45.7 2.1 14.1 23–24 Sep ANN 1,018 41 7.8 9.5 2.7 2.9 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.3 2.1 24.8 3,4 16.2 16–17 Sep Mainichi 1,030 26 11 13 2 5 5 5 3 1 – – 25 4 1 8–10 Sep NHK 1,236 34.1 4 5.8 2.2 2.3 1.9 0.9 1 0.4 0.2 – 42.8 4.4 8.7 3 Sep SSRC 1,509 24 8 12 3 3 3 3 1 1 – – 42 – 18 2–3 Sep JNN 1,219 32.4 4.9 6.1 2.8 2.2 1.3 1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 43.4 3.4 11.5 19–20 Aug Kyodo News 1,049 35.8 8.7 11.4 3.6 3.5 4.4 4.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 22.5 2.6 13.3 19–20 Aug ANN 1,010 39.4 6.7 10.3 3.9 3.5 2.5 2 0.6 0.4 0.3 2 25.6 2.8 13.8 12–13 Aug Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 11.4 2.3 4.5 2 1.4 1.1 2.9 1 0.4 1.1 – 71.9 – 60.5 12–13 Aug JX for Senkyo Dot Com 997 29 9.9 9.5 2.6 5.8 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.2 – 37.1 – 8.1 11–13 Aug NHK 1,223 34.1 4.7 4.8 3.4 2.7 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 39.2 7 5.1 6 Aug JNN 1,509 23 8 13 2 2 2 3 1 – – 0 44 2 21 5–6 Aug JNN 1,206 30.5 4.6 6.7 2.5 2.1 1.7 3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 43.6 3.5 13.1 28–30 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 904 36 6 10 4 6 3 3 1 – – – 27 4 9 22–23 Jul Mainichi 1,022 24 9 16 4 6 4 7 3 – 1 – 25 1 1 21–23 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 33 4 9 2 2 2 2 1 – – – 42 3 9 15–16 Jul Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 13 2.3 4.9 2.3 1.6 1 2.7 1 – 1 – 69.8 0.4 56.8 15–16 Jul JX for Senkyo Dot Com 997 29.8 9.6 9.9 2.9 4.7 1.2 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.5 – 37.2 – 7.4 14–16 Jul Kyodo News 1,034 30.1 8.7 10.6 5.9 2.9 3 3.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0 32.5 1.2 2.4 8–9 Jul ANN 1,023 42 7.1 10 3.9 2 1.9 2 0.6 0.4 0.5 – 24.5 5.1 7.5 7–9 Jul NHK 1,218 34.2 5.1 5.6 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.4 38.7 6.8 4.5 7–10 Jul Jiji Press 1,184 23.6 3.2 5.2 3.6 1.5 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.2 – – 56.8 2.5 33.2 8–9 Jul ANN 1,025 42 7.1 10 3 2 1.9 3 0.6 0.4 – – 24.5 5.5 17.5 23–25 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 913 34 9 12 3 3 3 3 2 – – – 27 4 7 23–25 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,018 34 4 6 3 1 2 2 1 – – – 40 7 6 10–11 Jun ANN 1,021 41.5 8.0 8.7 3.9 4.8 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 23.6 3.2 17.9 9–11 Jun NHK 1,208 34.7 4.1 6.2 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 38.6 6.5 3.9 4–5 Jun JNN 1,202 32.7 4.3 7.9 3.9 2.5 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.8 39.3 3.6 6.6 27–28 May Kyodo News 1,052 40.9 8.8 12.6 4.5 3.6 2.1 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 – 19.8 2.9 21.1 26–28 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 928 37 8 13 3 2 2 1 1 1 – – 29 3 8 20–21 May Yomiuri 1,061 38 5 7 2 3 1 2 1 – – – 37 4 1 20–21 May Mainichi 1,053 28 9 17 4 6 3 4 – – – – 24 5 4 19–21 May 49th G7 summit in Hiroshima 13–14 May ANN 1,028 41.6 7.4 9.8 4.4 4.2 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.4 Did not exist 0.9 23.7 3.3 17.9 12–15 May Jiji News 1,228 24.4 4.2 5.9 3.9 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 – 54.8 3.1 24.4 12–14 May NHK 1,225 36.5 4.2 6.7 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 – 0.3 38.9 6.1 2.4 23 April April 2023 Japan by-elections 7–9 Apr NHK 1,232 36 5.3 4.1 3.2 2.1 1.3 1 0.4 0.6 0.2 Did not exist 0.2 34 11.5 2 18–19 Mar ANN 1,008 42.6 7.4 5.7 4.0 2.9 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.8 27.9 3.8 14.7 18–19 Mar Mainichi 1,034 25 11 11 4 5 4 4 2 – – – 30 4 5 17–19 Mar Yomiuri/TV Tokyo 1,001 35 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 – 1 – 42 5 7 10–13 Mar Jiji Press 1,198 23.3 3.5 2.9 3.4 1.3 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 – 61 1.4 37.7 10–12 Mar NHK 1,227 36.3 5.5 3.7 3.7 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 38.5 6.2 2.2 24–26 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 819 39 9 8 4 3 2 2 – – – – 27 6 12 18–19 Feb ANN 1,011 42.3 8.5 6.2 3.7 3.4 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.7 23.9 5.3 18.4 17–19 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,044 35 6 4 4 2 1 1 2 – 1 – 39 5 4 11–12 Feb Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 12.1 2.9 4 2.7 1.7 1.1 1.7 1 0.3 0.8 – 71.7 – 59.6 11–12 Feb JX for Senkyo Dot Com 986 32.5 12.1 5.8 4.3 5.5 1.9 1 1 1.1 0.3 – 34.6 – 2.1 10–12 Feb NHK 1,229 38 5.4 4.1 3.3 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 35.3 7.7 2.7 5 Feb SSRC 3,076 27 8 9 3 4 4 2 1 1 1 – 40 – 13 4–5 Feb JNN 1,167 31.7 6.4 4.2 2 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.4 45.1 3.3 13.4 28–29 Jan Kyodo News 1,044 38.3 9.6 10.5 4 4 2.2 3 1.6 0.4 1.2 1.1 22.1 2 16.2 27–29 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 940 42 8 6 4 2 3 2 1 – 1 – 27 4 15 21–22 Jan Mainichi 1,059 26 13 11 4 5 4 2 3 – – – 29 3 3 21–22 Jan ANN 1,024 43.8 9.8 6.2 3.6 3.3 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.7 24.9 3 18.9 13–16 Jan Jiji Press 1,210 24.6 2.5 3.6 3.4 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.4 – 58.7 2 34.1 14–15 Jan Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 11.9 2.1 5.6 3.2 1.8 0.6 2 1.7 0.2 1.1 – 69.8 – 57.9 14–15 Jan JX for Go2Senkyo 996 30.2 12.9 7.2 3 5.5 1 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 – 37 – 6.8 13–15 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 36 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 – 1 – 41 5 5 7–9 Jan NHK 1,250 38.9 5.7 3.4 3 2.5 1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 36.7 6.4 2.2 7–8 Jan JNN 1,225 32.1 5.4 3.7 3.6 2.6 2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 44.7 3.6 12.6 31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97% (election turnout) 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 – 1.7 – – 14.7
2022 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP NIK KMT JCP DPP REI DIY SDP NHK Others No party Und. /no ans. Lead 23–25 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 40 7 9 2 4 2 2 1 – 1 – 29 3 11 9–12 Dec Jiji Press 1,228 22.8 5.5 3.8 3.7 1.8 1.4 0.8 1 0.2 0.2 – 55.7 3.1 32.9 9–11 Dec NHK 1,234 35.5 7.3 4.1 3.1 2.8 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 37.3 6.3 1.8 3–4 Dec JNN 1,227 32 5.6 5 2.6 2.9 0.8 1.4 1 0.4 0.2 0.1 45.8 2.2 13.8 2–4 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 33 6 6 3 2 1 1 1 – – – 42 5 9 25–27 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 1,030 40 10 8 3 4 2 2 2 1 1 – 26 1 14 19–20 Nov SSRC for Mainichi 3,069 25 9 9 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 – 42 1 17 19–20 Nov ANN 1,021 43.1 10.1 7.6 2.8 3.7 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.3 1 23.6 2.4 19.5 12–13 Nov Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 14.1 3 4.4 2.9 1.7 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.4 1.2 – 68.1 – 54 12–13 Nov JX for Go2Senkyo 995 28.1 15.7 6.3 2.3 5.3 1.7 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.4 – 36.2 – 8.1 11–14 Nov Jiji Press 1,234 22.8 4.8 2.8 3.7 2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 – 58.9 2.7 36.1 11–13 Nov NHK 1,236 37.1 7 4.4 2.3 3.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 35.7 6.9 1.4 5–6 Nov JNN 1,213 33.7 6.2 6.7 2.6 2.4 2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.6 39.7 3.7 6 4–6 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,049 33 6 5 4 3 1 1 1 – – – 43 3 10 22–23 Oct SSRC for Mainichi 3,072 23 7 8 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 – 42 6 19 15–16 Oct Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 14.5 3.5 5 2.2 1.1 0.8 2 1.1 0.2 0.9 – 68.7 – 54.2 15–16 Oct JX for Go2Senkyo 987 28.3 13.4 6.7 3.3 5.7 1.3 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 – 38.1 – 9.8 15–16 Oct ANN 1,058 44.5 10 7.4 3.4 3.3 2 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.5 1.4 19.9 3.4 24.6 8–10 Oct NHK 1,247 36.9 5.6 3.7 3 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 38.4 6.7 1.5 7–10 Oct Jiji Press 1,266 23.5 3.6 4 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 – 58.9 2.1 35.4 8–9 Oct Kyodo News 1,067 34.1 10.7 12.6 3.5 4.8 2.6 3.1 2.6 0.6 0.1 – 24.2 1.1 9.9 17–18 Sep ANN 1,013 43.8 10.3 6.5 3.4 3.6 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.4 23.1 3.7 20.7 17–18 Sep SSRC for Mainichi 1,064 23 10 13 4 5 4 5 2 1 1 1 29 2 6 16–18 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 957 37 10 10 4 4 2 3 1 1 – – 26 2 11 9–12 Sep Jiji Press 1,238 22.4 4 3.4 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.2 – 59.1 2.3 36.7 9–11 Sep NHK 1,255 36.2 4.8 5.1 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 34.9 7.4 1.3 3–4 Sep JNN 1,218 34 5.5 6.3 4.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 37.2 5 3.2 2–4 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,075 40 5 6 2 3 1 1 1 – – – 37 4 3 20–21 Aug SSRC for Mainichi 965 29 10 13 2 5 4 4 4 1 1 1 25 1 4 20–21 Aug ANN 1,016 44.9 8.3 8.3 3.1 4.5 2.4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.6 1 20.3 3.2 24.6 13–14 Aug Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 14.2 2.2 5.3 2.6 2.1 0.9 1.6 1.2 – 1.6 – 68.3 – 54.1 13–14 Aug JX 1,005 29 12.4 7 4 5.8 1.2 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 – 35.4 – 6.4 5–8 Aug Jiji Press 1,200 24.3 4.8 4.5 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 – 56.3 1.8 32 6–7 Aug JNN 1,162 35.2 6.1 6.3 3.8 3.4 1.7 2 – 1 0.3 1.3 34.7 4.2 0.5 5–7 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 38 6 5 3 3 1 1 2 1 1 – 36 3 2 5–7 Aug NHK 1,223 36.1 5.5 6 2.7 3.4 1.5 1 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.6 34.3 7.2 1.8 30–31 Jul Kyodo News 1,050 41 7 11.8 4.8 3.8 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.3 0.3 – 19.6 2 21.4 29–31 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 985 43 7 10 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 – 24 2 19 15–18 Jul Jiji Press 1,224 26.5 4.1 4.5 3.8 1.3 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 – 51.6 2.7 25.1 16–18 Jul NHK 1,216 38.4 5.3 6.5 4.4 3 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.1 29.6 7.3 8.8 16–17 Jul Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 16.1 2.6 8.6 3.1 1.5 0.7 2.3 1.6 0.3 1 – 62.2 – 46.1 16–17 Jul JX for Go2Senkyo 998 36.7 11 6.9 4.1 5.1 1.1 1.9 1.4 1.4 0.6 – 29.8 – 6.9 16–17 Jul SSRC for Mainichi 1,031 34 8 15 4 3 3 5 4 1 1 1 20 1 14 16–17 Jul ANN 1,008 45.1 7.5 10.1 4 3.4 2.6 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.3 14.8 6,9 30.3 10 Jul 2022 House of Councillors election 52.05% (election turnout) 34.4 12.8 14.8 11.7 6.8 6.0 4.4 3.3 2.4 2.4 1.1 3.0 – 19.6 8 Jul Assassination of Shinzo Abe 2–3 Jul JNN 1,198 35.4 6 4.5 3 3.4 0.6 1.7 – 0.6 0.4 0.8 37 6.6 1.6 1–3 Jul NHK 2,035 35.6 5.8 5.4 4.8 4 1.4 0.5 – 0.3 0.5 1 31.3 9.5 4.3 24–26 Jun NHK 2,049 35.6 6 4.8 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 – 0.7 0.2 1.4 33.7 8.5 1.9 18–19 Jun ANN 1,043 42.4 8.9 6.6 4.5 4.3 1.9 1.2 – 0.2 0.4 – 25.9 3.7 16.5 18 Jun SSRC for Mainichi 995 34 7 13 6 6 3 3 – 1 2 – 20 5 14 17–19 Jun NHK 2,035 38.4 5.1 3.7 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.4 – 0.5 0.3 0.7 34.1 8.8 4.3 11–12 Jun Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 15.5 3.2 5.4 3.7 2.1 0.9 1.6 – 0.2 1.9 – 65.8 – 50.3 11–12 Jun JX for Go2Senkyo 983 35.5 10.7 5.7 4.9 6.1 1.6 0.6 – 0.3 0.2 – 34.4 – 1.1 10–13 Jun Jiji Press 1,234 27.2 3.9 3.1 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.3 – 0.4 0.3 – 53.2 4.5 26 10–12 Jun NHK 1,994 40.1 5.9 4.0 2.9 2.6 1.3 0.8 – 0.5 0.3 0.7 33.1 8.1 7 4–5 Jun JNN 1,207 38 4.6 5 3.3 1.7 1.4 1.1 – 0.5 0.3 – 37.1 7 0.9 3–5 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,485 43 4 5 3 2 1 1 – – – – 38 3 5 27–29 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 935 51 7 6 3 2 2 – – – – – 23 6 28 21–22 May ANN 1,035 49.3 6.8 6 3.3 3.5 2.4 1.7 – 0.5 – – 24.8 1.7 24.5 21 May SSRC for Mainichi 1,041 37 8 11 3 4 3 3 – – 1 – 28 2 9 13–16 May Jiji Press 1,254 29.5 2.7 3 3.9 1.8 1 0.5 – 0.4 0.1 – 54.1 3 24.6 14–15 May Gunosy for Go2Senkyo 1,000 13.9 2.2 5.4 2.9 0.6 1 2 – 0.1 1.2 – 70.7 – 56.8 14–15 May JX for Go2Senkyo 995 32.0 11.7 7.1 4.6 5 1.4 1.1 – 0.4 – – 36.8 – 4.8 13–15 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 42 3 3 3 2 1 – – – – – 37 9 5 6–8 May NHK 1,214 39.8 5 3.5 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.5 – 0.4 0.1 0.3 36.2 7.6 3.6 7–8 May JNN 1,223 37.3 5.6 4.5 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.2 – 0.3 0.1 – 41.4 4.4 4.1 23 Apr SSRC for Mainichi 1,018 35 7 10 3 4 4 2 – 1 1 – 31 2 4 8–10 Apr NHK 1,235 38.9 5.2 3.6 3 2.5 1.5 0.2 – 0.4 – 0.6 36.7 7.5 2.2 1–3 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 41 5 5 4 2 2 1 – 1 – – 35 4 6 25–27 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 976 49 6 7 3 3 1 2 – – – – 24 5 25 19–20 Mar ANN 1,008 47.1 7.8 6.4 2.9 4.6 2.3 0.6 – 0.4 0.2 – 26.9 0.8 20.2 19 Mar SSRC for Mainichi 1,040 34 9 12 2 3 4 2 – 1 1 – 30 2 4 12–13 Mar JX for Go2Senkyo 1,001 34.7 12.9 8.8 3.7 4.4 1.4 0.6 – 0.6 0.1 – 32.9 – 1.8 11–14 Mar Jiji Press 1,226 26.7 4.3 3.8 4.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 – 0.5 0.2 – 54 2.7 27.3 11–13 Mar NHK 1,223 38.4 5.9 4.5 3.8 2.3 1 0.6 – 0.7 0.2 0.2 35.5 7 2.9 5–6 Mar JNN 1,229 38.1 6.9 6.4 2.8 3.2 1.4 0.3 – 0.3 0.3 – 34.6 5.7 3.5 4–6 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,063 40 5 7 4 3 2 – – – – – 36 3 4 25–27 Feb Nikkei 992 46 7 8 4 2 2 2 – – – – 26 3 20 19–20 Feb Kyodo News 1,054 48.4 8 12.6 4 2.4 2.4 1.8 – 0.9 0.7 – 15.3 3.5 33.1 19–20 Feb ANN 1,008 47.1 8.6 7 4 3 1.9 1.2 – 0.5 – – 25.9 0.8 21.2 19 Feb SSRC for Mainichi 1,050 35 8 16 3 4 4 3 – 1 1 – 25 – 10 12–13 Feb Gunosy 1,000 11.9 3 6.5 3 0.8 1.7 2 – 0.7 2.9 – 67.5 – 55.6 12–13 Feb JX 1,004 33.9 10.1 9.8 3.7 5.1 0.7 0.8 – 0.3 0.3 – 35.3 – 1.4 11–14 Feb Jiji Press 1,256 26 4.8 3.8 3.5 1.3 1 0.5 – 0.2 – – 57.4 1.5 31.4 11–13 Feb NHK 1,240 41.5 7.3 5.2 3.5 2.2 1 0.6 – 0.3 0.1 0.3 31 6.9 10.5 5–6 Feb JNN 1,205 39.3 5.2 7.3 2.7 2.1 1.6 0.6 – 0.1 0.2 – 37 3.9 2.3 4–6 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 40 5 7 3 2 1 1 – – – – 34 7 6 28–30 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 958 46 8 10 2 4 2 1 – – – – 24 3 22 22–23 Jan ANN 1,025 45.1 9.6 8.6 3.8 3.9 1.7 1 – 0.4 0.1 – 25.2 0.6 19.9 22 Jan SSRC for Mainichi 1,061 30 9 18 3 3 4 4 – – 1 – 25 3 5 14–16 Jan Yomiuri 1,057 41 5 6 3 2 2 – – – – – 35 6 6 7–10 Jan Jiji Press 1,292 25.6 4 4.3 3 1.6 0.7 0.8 – 0.4 0.2 – 57.4 2 31.8 8–10 Jan NHK 1,219 41.1 5.4 5.8 2.8 2.6 1 0.3 – 0.2 – 0.3 34 6.3 7.1 8–9 Jan JNN 1,215 39.6 5.5 7.6 3.8 2 1.1 0.7 – 0.6 0.2 – 35.8 3.1 3.8 31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97% (election turnout) 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 – 1.8 1.4 – 1.7 – 14.7
2021 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP NIK KMT JCP DPP REI SDP NHK Others No party Und. /no ans. Lead 18–19 Dec Asahi 1,318 36 8 7 3 2 1 1 – – – 34 8 2 18–19 Dec ANN 1,032 41 11.6 10.1 3.8 4 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 – 25.1 0.8 15.9 18 Dec SSRC for Mainichi 1,023 27 11 22 4 5 3 4 – 1 – 22 1 5 10–12 Dec NHK 1,190 34.9 8.7 7.3 3.1 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.3 32.3 7.4 2.6 20–21 Nov ANN 1,031 42 11.4 11.1 4.6 4.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 – 23.5 0.4 18.5 10–11 Nov Kyodo News 520 42.7 10.7 13 7.4 3.9 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.2 – 13.6 2.3 29.1 10–11 Nov Nikkei 852 44 9 13 5 2 2 2 – – – 20 3 24 5–8 Nov Jiji Press 1,270 27.2 5.4 4.7 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 – 53.1 2.4 25.9 6–7 Nov JNN 1,225 35.9 9.3 9.8 4.9 3.1 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.5 – 29 3.7 6.9 5–7 Nov NHK 1,208 39.5 8.2 7.3 4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 28.6 7.8 10.9 1–2 Nov Yomiuri 1,107 39 11 10 4 2 2 2 1 – – 26 3 13 31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 55.97% (election turnout) 34.7 20.0 14.0 12.4 7.3 4.5 3.9 1.8 1.4 – 1.7 – 14.7
Voting intention (party vote) LOESS curve of the voter intention polling for the next Japanese general election with a 7-day average.
2024 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP CDP NIK KMT JCP DPP REI DIY SDP NHK FEFA Others No party Und. /no ans. Lead 23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 34 12 10 4 3 3 4 1 1 – – 1 20 9 14 21–22 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 595 39 11 10 3 3 3 3 – 1 – 1 1 17 9 22 26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 30 13 11 5 4 3 3 1 1 – – 1 18 9 12 19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 27 12 11 4 3 3 4 1 1 – 1 1 21 12 6 28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 31 14 10 3 3 3 4 1 1 – – – 18 11 13 21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 29 14 10 5 4 3 6 1 1 – – 1 19 9 10 1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 24.2 16.9 10.3 5.4 5.5 5.1 4 1.7 0.8 – 0.8 0.7 24.6 – 0.4 24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 24 16 13 6 4 3 5 2 1 – – 1 16 9 8 17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 27 15 10 5 3 2 5 1 1 – 1 1 20 9 7 29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 28 18 9 5 3 3 4 2 – 1 – 1 18 8 10 19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 26 10 10 4 4 3 6 1 1 – 1 1 24 8 2
Preferred outcome
2024 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size LDP–KMT coalition LDP–KMT–NIK coalition Change of regime Clear government win Close result Clear opposition win Und. /no ans. 24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 42 – 40 – – – 17 23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 51 – 33 – – – 16 3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 41 – 42 – – – 17 26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 60 [ a] – 27 – – – 13 20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 39.3 – 46 – – – 14.7 20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 – – – 21.9 51.2 21.9 5 20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 15 13 26 [ b] – – – 46 19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 44 – 37 – – – 19 13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 38 – 43 – – – 19 5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 36.3 – 39.3 – – – 24.4 6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 38 – 47 – – – 15 28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 61 [ c] – 26 – – – 13 22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 13 13 30 [ d] – – – 44 22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 11 15 53 [ e] – – – 21 21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 46 – 42 – – – 12 15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 43.7 – 43.9 – – – 12.4 15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 34 – 49 – – – 17 1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 39 – 48 – – – 13 24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 60 [ f] – 27 – – – 13 18–19 May ANN 1,045 39 – 52 – – – 9 17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 42 – 42 – – – 16 10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 33.2 – 43.9 – – – 22.9 11–12 May Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 – – – 11.9 22.2 18.1 47.8 11–12 May JX for Senkyo Dot Com 976 – – – 21.1 39.2 25.9 13.8 4–5 May JNN 1,013 34 – 48 – – – 18 29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 63 [ g] – 28 – – – 9 20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 24 – 62 – – – 14 13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 – – – 17.7 50.5 23.8 8 30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 32 – 42 – – – 26 16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 38 – 46 – – – 16
Preferred prime minister
After the call of LDP presidential election This section is an excerpt from 2024 Liberal Democratic Party (Japan) presidential election § Polling.[ edit]
Before the call of LDP presidential election LOESS curve of the polling for the 2024 LDP leadership election with a 7-day average. Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size[vague ] Shigeru Ishiba Shinjirō Koizumi Taro Kono Sanae Takaichi Yoshihide Suga Yōko Kamikawa Fumio Kishida Seiko Noda Toshimitsu Motegi Others NOT / UD /NA
14 Aug 2024 Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP. 3–4 Aug 2024 JNN 1,010 23.1 14.5 7.1 7 4.8 6.9 6.4 0.7 0.9 2[ j] 26.6 26–28 Jul 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 24 15 5 8 5 6 6 2 1 4[ k] 24 20–21 Jul 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,033 24.7 12.1 7.0 7.5 5.4 4.8 4.1 1.4 0.9 1.7[ l] 30.4 [ m] 20–21 Jul 2024 Kyodo News 1,035 28.4 12.7 9 10.4 – 8.2 7.5 1.1 2.5 2.5[ n] 17.7 20–21 Jul 2024 SSRC 2,044 17 12 4 7 7 5 6 – – 9[ o] 33 19–21 Jul 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 25 15 8 6 6 4 6 2 1 2[ p] 25 [ q] 13–14 Jul 2024 ANN 1,012 27 18 6 6 4 6 4 2 1 2[ r] 24 6–7 Jul 2024 JNN 1,021 24 16.6 9.3 5.8 5.8 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.9 3.1[ s] 25.5 22–23 Jun 2024 SSRC 2,043 18 11 5 5 7 5 5 – – 9[ t] 35 22–23 Jun 2024 Mainichi 1,057 20 7 5 9 6 8 5 – 1 – 39 22–23 Jun 2024 Kyodo News 1,056 26.2 12.1 7.8 6.8 – 7.8 6.6 2.4 2.4 2.8[ u] 25.1 21–23 Jun 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 23 15 6 7 8 6 6 3 1 3[ v] 22[ w] 15–16 Jun 2024 Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 13.6 5.8 6.5 6.7 – 3.3 3.2 – 0.4 6.6[ x] 53.9 15–16 Jun 2024 JX for Senkyo Dot Com 984 23.2 9.9 4.8 8.5 – 8.6 7.8 – 0.9 10.4[ y] 25.9 15–16 Jun 2024 Sankei/FNN 1,013 16.4 14.6 8.4 6.3 5.8 5.6 4.3 0.9 0.4 2[ z] 35.3 [ aa] 15–16 Jun 2024 ANN 1,026 23 18 8 6 5 7 3 3 1 1 25 18–19 May 2024 ANN 1,045 23 18 7 6 5 9 4 1 1 1 25 17–19 May 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 22 16 10 7 6 7 4 1 2 4[ ab] 21[ ac] 4–5 May 2024 JNN 1,013 24.2 14.1 8.4 6.1 7 7.8 4.5 1.8 0.3 10.5[ ad] 15.3 13–14 Apr 2024 ANN 1,037 21 18 8 6 5 9 5 2 1 1[ ae] 24 22–24 Mar 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 22 15 8 5 6 9 7 1 1 3[ af] 23 [ ag] 16–17 Mar 2024 ANN 1,031 22 18 9 6 5 11 4 2 1 1[ ah] 21 16–17 Mar 2024 SSRC 2,044 17 11 6 6 6 8 3 – – 8[ ai] 35 8–11 Mar 2024 Jiji Press 1,160 18.6 12.1 6.4 4.7 5.7 5.9 2.3 0.9 0.4 2.6[ aj] 40.4 9–10 Mar 2024 Kyodo News 1,043 22.2 15.4 7.9 8.3 – 10.8 4.9 1.8 0.9 3.3[ ak] 24.5 24–25 Feb 2024 ANN 1,034 23 17 9 6 4 11 2 3 1 1[ al] 34 17–18 Feb 2024 SSRC 2,043 17 10 7 6 7 10 3 – – 7[ am] 33 17–18 Feb 2024 Mainichi 1,024 25 9 7 9 – 12 1 2 1 – 34 16–18 Feb 2024 Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 21 17 10 6 4 8 4 2 2 2[ an] 12 26–28 Jan 2024 Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 22 15 10 7 7 5 3 2 2 6[ ao] 17 8–11 Dec 2023 Jiji Press 2,000 15 16 8.8 5 6.2 3.1 1.6 – – 1 40.3 18–19 Nov 2023 Asahi 1,086 15 16 13 8 – – 7 – 1 1[ ap] 36 11–12 Nov 2023 Sankei Shimbun/FNN N/A 18.2 16 11.9 5.4 4.2 4.3 2.5 – – 5.2 32.3 23–24 Sep 2023 ANN 1,018 18 15 14 5 7 – 5 3 3 3[ aq] 22 1–8 Jul 2023 Asahi 2,113 15 16 13 5 10 – 10 2 – 3[ ar] 27 3–4 Dec 2022 JNN 1,227 11 – 19 5 7 – 6 2 2 1[ as] 39 19–20 Nov 2022 SSRC for Mainichi 3,069 5.9 4 14.7 4.7 4.4 – 15.8 – – 6.4[ at] 17 17–18 Sep 2022 SSRC 642 5.1 2.1 13.6 5.1 3.4 – 10.3 – – 8[ au] 20.9
Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings Approval Polling for the Kishida Cabinet.
2024 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead 24–25 Aug Mainichi 950 Fumio Kishida 23 71 6 48 24–25 Aug Asahi 1,058 23 62 15 39 24–25 Aug ANN 1,015 20.3 62.5 17.2 42.2 23–25 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,056 24 63 13 39 14 Aug Fumio Kishida announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP. 5 Aug Nikkei 225 decline 3–4 Aug JNN 1,010 Fumio Kishida 31 66.4 2.6 35.4 2–4 Aug NHK 1,199 24.9 55.1 20 30.2 26–28 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 792 28 64 8 36 20–21 Jul Sankei/FNN 1,033 25.1 68.9 6 43.8 20–21 Jul Kyodo News 1,035 24.6 60.7 14.7 36.1 20–21 Jul Mainichi 1,020 21 73 6 52 20–21 Jul Asahi 1,035 26 61 13 35 20–21 Jul SSRC 2,044 19 66 15 47 19–21 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,031 25 62 13 37 13–14 Jul Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 7.4[ av] 68.5 [ aw] 24.1 44.4 13–14 Jul JX for Senkyo Dot Com 987 20[ ax] 54.8 [ ay] 25.2 29.6 13–14 Jul ANN 1,012 20.2 61.4 18.4 41.2 5–8 Jul Jiji Press 1,160 15.5 58.4 26.1 32.3 6–7 Jul JNN 1,021 26.9 71.5 1.6 44.6 5–7 Jul NHK 1,211 24.9 56.8 18.2 31.9 28–30 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 838 25 67 8 42 22–23 Jun SSRC 2,043 17 71 12 54 22–23 Jun Mainichi 1,057 17 77 6 60 22–23 Jun Kyodo News 1,056 22.2 62.4 15.4 40.2 21–23 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,023 23 64 13 41 15–16 Jun Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 9.6[ az] 65.7 [ ba] 24.7 41 15–16 Jun JX for Senkyo Dot Com 984 19.4[ bb] 58.1 [ bc] 22.5 35.6 15–16 Jun Sankei/FNN 1,013 31.2 64.4 4.4 33.2 15–16 Jun ANN 1,026 19.1 62.4 18.5 43.3 7–10 Jun Jiji Press 1,240 16.4 57 26.6 30.4 7–9 Jun NHK 1,192 21.4 60.2 18.4 38.8 30 May–5 Jun Morning Consult N/A 13 72 15 57 1–2 Jun JNN 1,008 25.1 71.6 3.3 46.5 24–26 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 813 28 67 5 39 18–19 May ANN 1,045 20.7 60.8 18.5 40.1 18–19 May Mainichi 1,093 20 74 6 54 17–19 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 26 63 11 37 11–13 May Kyodo News 1,055 24.2 62.6 13.2 38.4 10–13 May Jiji Press 1,260 19 56 25 31 11–12 May Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 10.8[ bd] 61.5 [ be] 27.7 33.8 11–12 May JX for Senkyo Dot Com 976 19.8[ bf] 58.3 [ bg] 21.9 36.4 10–12 May NHK 1,202 23.9 54.6 21.5 30.7 1–7 May Morning Consult N/A 15 71 14 56 4–5 May JNN 1,013 29.8 67.9 2.3 38.1 29–30 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 876 26 69 5 43 28 Apr 2024 Japan by-elections 20–21 Apr Mainichi 1,032 Fumio Kishida 22 74 4 52 19–21 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 25 66 9 41 13–15 Apr Kyodo News 1,049 23.8 62.1 14.1 38.3 13–14 Apr Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 8.6[ bh] 65.7 [ bi] 25.7 40 13–14 Apr JX for Senkyo Dot Com 981 25.7[ bj] 50.4 [ bk] 23.9 24.7 13–14 Apr ANN 1,037 26.3 51.7 22 25.4 5–8 Apr Jiji Press 1,200 16.6 59.4 24 35.4 5–7 Apr NHK 1,204 23 58.2 18.8 35.2 28 Mar–3 Apr Morning Consult N/A 16 70 14 54 30–31 Mar JNN 1,036 22.8 75 2.2 52.2 22–24 Mar Nikkei/TV Tokyo 925 26 66 8 40 22–24 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,020 25 62 13 37 16–17 Mar Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 11.5[ bl] 61.3 [ bm] 27.2 34.1 16–17 Mar JX for Senkyo Dot Com 983 23.6[ bn] 58.8 [ bo] 17.6 35.2 16–17 Mar ANN 1,031 20.9 61.1 18 40.2 16–17 Mar SSRC 2,044 16 73 11 57 16–17 Mar Mainichi 997 17 77 6 60 16–17 Mar Asahi 1,065 22 67 11 45 8–11 Mar Jiji Press 1,160 18 57.4 24.6 39.4 9–10 Mar Kyodo News 1,043 20.1 64.4 15.5 44.3 8–10 Mar NHK 1,206 24.9 57 18.1 32.1 24–25 Feb ANN 1,034 20.6 59.7 19.7 39.1 23–25 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 867 25 67 8 42 17–18 Feb Mainichi 1,024 14 82 4 68 17–18 Feb SSRC 2,043 14 74 12 60 17–18 Feb Gunosy for Senkyo Dot Com 1,000 7.3[ bp] 65 [ bq] 27.7 37.3 17–18 Feb JX for Senkyo Dot Com 991 19.5[ br] 59.7 [ bs] 20.8 38.9 16–18 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,083 24 61 15 37 10–12 Feb NHK 1,215 25.1 58.2 16.7 33.1 9–12 Feb Jiji Press 1,180 16.9 60.4 22.7 37.7 27–28 Jan Mainichi 1,049 21 72 7 51 26–28 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 969 27 66 7 39 21 Jan SSRC 2,052 19 70 11 51 20–21 Jan ANN 1,007 20.4 61.3 18.3 40.9 19–21 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,074 24 61 15 37 19 Jan Dissolution of Kōchikai , Shisuikai and Seiwakai factions of the LDP. 12–14 Jan NHK 1,212 Fumio Kishida 26.4 55.5 18.1 29.1 6–7 Jan JNN 1,209 27.1 70.4 2.5 42.9 1 Jan 2024 Noto earthquake
2023 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead 16–17 Dec Mainichi 1,080 Fumio Kishida 16 79 5 63 16–17 Dec ANN 1,011 21.3 60.4 18.3 39.1 16–17 Dec Kyodo News 1,018 22.3 65.4 12.3 43.1 15–17 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 25 63 12 38 15–16 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 729 26 68 6 42 8–11 Dec Jiji Press 1,188 17.1 58.2 24.7 33.5 8–10 Dec NHK 1,212 23.2 57.5 19.3 34.3 6–12 Dec Morning Consult N/A 16 73 11 57 8 Dec Slush fund scandal 2–3 Dec JNN 1,213 Fumio Kishida 28.9 68 3.1 39.1 24–26 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 869 30 62 8 32 25–26 Nov ANN 1,015 26.1 54.2 19.7 28.1 15–21 Nov Morning Consult N/A 16 71 13 55 18–19 Nov Asahi 1,086 25 65 10 40 18–19 Nov Mainichi 1,032 21 74 5 53 17–19 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,067 24 62 14 38 10–12 Nov NHK 1,224 29 52 19 23 14–15 Oct Mainichi 1,030 25 68 7 43 13–15 Oct Yomiuri/NNN 1,022 34 49 17 15 6–9 Oct Jiji Press 1,176 26.3 46.3 27.4 18.9 7–9 Oct NHK 1,219 36.3 43.6 20.2 7.3 1 Oct SSRC 1,505 23 64 13 41 30 Sep–1 Oct JNN 1,208 39.6 57.8 2.6 18.2 23–24 Sep ANN 1,018 30.7 48.3 21 17.6 16–17 Sep Mainichi 1,030 25 68 7 43 8–10 Sep NHK 1,236 36.3 43 20.6 6.7 3 Sep SSRC 1,509 25 63 12 38 2–3 Sep JNN 1,219 38.7 58.1 3.2 19.4 30 Aug–5 Sep Morning Consult N/A 25 63 12 38 26–27 Aug Mainichi 1,039 26 68 6 42 25–27 Aug Nikkei/TV Tokyo 847 42 50 8 8 25–27 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,033 35 50 15 15 19–20 Aug Kyodo News 1,049 33.6 50 16.4 16.4 19–20 Aug ANN 1,010 33.4 45.9 20.7 12.5 16–22 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 63 14 40 11–13 Aug NHK 1,223 33.4 44.8 21.7 11.4 9–15 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 64 13 41 6 Aug SSRC 1,509 22 66 12 44 5–6 Aug JNN 1,206 37.1 58.7 4.2 21.6 26 July–1 Aug Morning Consult N/A 23 65 12 42 28–30 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 904 40 51 9 11 22–23 Jul Mainichi 1,022 28 65 7 37 21–23 Jul Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 35 52 13 17 14–16 Jul Kyodo News 1,034 34 49 17 15 12–18 Jul Morning Consult N/A 25 62 13 37 8–9 Jul ANN 1,023 34.5 42.5 23 8 7–10 Jul Jiji Press 1,184 30.8 39.3 29.9 8.5 7–9 Jul NHK 1,218 38.2 40.6 21.3 2.4 5–11 Jul Morning Consult N/A 27 60 13 33 23–25 Jun Nikkei/TV Tokyo 913 39 51 10 12 23–25 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,018 41 44 15 3 17–18 Jun Kyodo News 1,044 40.8 41.6 17.6 0.8 17–18 Jun Mainichi 1,029 33 58 9 25 14–20 Jun Morning Consult N/A 25 60 15 35 10–11 Jun ANN 1,021 36.9 37.7 25.4 0.8 9–11 Jun NHK 1,208 43 37.2 19.9 5.8 3–4 Jun JNN 1,202 46.7 48.3 5 1.6 24–30 May Morning Consult N/A 34 53 13 19 27–28 May Asahi 1,130 46 42 12 4 27–28 May Kyodo News 1,052 47 35.9 17.1 11.1 26–28 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 928 47 44 9 3 20–21 May Yomiuri 1,061 56 33 11 23 20–21 May Mainichi 1,053 45 46 9 1 19–21 May 49th G7 summit in Hiroshima 12–15 May Jiji Press 1,228 Fumio Kishida 38.2 31.8 30 6.4 10–16 May Morning Consult N/A 31 54 15 23 13–14 May ANN 1,028 41.3 33.6 25.1 7.7 12–14 May NHK 1,225 46.4 30.9 22.7 15.5 7–9 Apr NHK 1,232 42 35.2 22.8 6.8 18–19 Mar ANN 1,008 35.1 39 25.9 3.9 18–19 Mar Asahi 1,304 40 50 10 10 18–19 Mar Mainichi 1,034 33 59 8 26 17–19 Mar Yomiuri/TV Tokyo 1,001 42 43 15 1 15–21 Mar Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38 10–13 Mar Jiji Press 1,198 29.9 40.9 29.2 11 10–12 Mar NHK 1,227 41.4 40.2 18.4 1.2 24–26 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 819 43 49 8 6 18–19 Feb ANN 1,011 29.5 44.8 25.7 15.3 17–19 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,044 41 47 12 6 15–21 Feb Morning Consult N/A 24 63 13 39 11–13 Feb Kyodo News 1,060 33.6 47.7 18.7 14.1 10–12 Feb NHK 1,229 35.7 40.9 23.4 5.2 5 Feb SSRC 3,076 23 65 12 42 4–5 Feb JNN 1,167 35.5 62.2 2.3 26.7 28–29 Jan Kyodo News 1,044 33.4 49.9 16.7 16.5 27–29 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 940 39 54 7 15 21–22 Jan Mainichi 1,059 27 66 7 39 21–22 Jan ANN 1,024 28.1 47.5 24.4 19.4 13–16 Jan Jiji Press 1,210 26.5 43.6 29.9 13.7 13–15 Jan Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 39 47 14 8 7–9 Jan NHK 1,250 32.7 44.7 22.6 12 7–8 Jan JNN 1,225 37.4 59.4 3.2 22 4–10 Jan Morning Consult N/A 23 64 13 41
2022 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead 23–25 Dec Nikkei/TV Tokyo 947 Fumio Kishida 35 57 8 22 7–13 Dec Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38 9–12 Dec Jiji Press 1,228 29.2 42.5 28.3 13.3 9–11 Dec NHK 1,234 36.3 43.5 20.2 7.2 3–4 Dec JNN 1,227 34.2 61.9 3.9 27.7 2–4 Dec Yomiuri/NNN 1,069 39 52 9 13 25–27 Nov Nikkei/TV Tokyo 1,030 37 55 8 18 26–27 Nov Kyodo News 1,035 33.1 51.6 15.3 18.5 19–20 Nov SSRC for Mainichi 3,069 27 59 14 32 19–20 Nov ANN 1,021 30.5 44.7 24.8 14.2 11–14 Nov Jiji Press 1,234 27.7 43.5 28.8 14.7 12–13 Nov Asahi 1,365 37 51 12 14 11–13 Nov NHK 1,236 32.6 46 21.4 13.4 9–15 Nov Morning Consult N/A 22 63 15 41 5–6 Nov JNN 1,213 39.6 57.7 2.7 18.1 4–6 Nov Yomiuri/NNN 1,049 36 50 14 14 15–16 Oct ANN 1,058 33.1 40.9 26 7.8 12–18 Oct Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38 7–10 Oct Jiji Press 1,266 27.4 43.9 28.7 15.2 8–10 Oct NHK 1,247 37.5 43 19.5 5.5 8–9 Oct Kyodo News 1,067 35 48.3 16.7 13.3 5–11 Oct Morning Consult N/A 24 62 14 38 17–18 Sep ANN 1,013 36.3 40.9 22.8 4.6 17–18 Sep SSRC for Mainichi 1,064 29 64 7 35 16–18 Sep Nikkei/TV Tokyo 957 43 49 8 6 10–11 Sep Asahi 1,462 41 47 12 6 9–12 Sep Jiji Press 1,238 32.3 40 27.7 7.7 9–11 Sep NHK 1,255 40.4 40.1 19.5 0.3 7–13 Sep Morning Consult N/A 28 59 13 31 3–4 Sep JNN 1,218 48.1 48.3 3.6 0,2 2–4 Sep Yomiuri/NNN 1,075 50 41 9 9 27–28 Aug Asahi 998 47 39 14 8 20–21 Aug SSRC for Mainichi 965 36 54 10 18 20–21 Aug ANN 1,016 43.7 32.7 23.6 11 5–8 Aug Jiji Press 1,200 44.3 28.5 27.2 15.8 6–7 Aug JNN 1,162 57.5 39.3 3.2 18.2 5–7 Aug Yomiuri/NNN 1,035 57 32 11 25 5–7 Aug NHK 1,223 46.4 27.9 25.8 18.5 30–31 Jul Kyodo News 1,050 51 29.5 19.5 21.5 29–31 Jul Nikkei/TV Tokyo 985 58 32 10 26 16–18 Jul NHK 1,216 59.4 21.1 19.6 38.3 16–17 Jul SSRC for Mainichi 1,031 52 37 11 15 16–17 Jul ANN 1,008 53.6 22.7 23.7 30.9 15–18 Jul Jiji Press 1,224 49.9 20 30.1 29.9 8 Jul Assassination of Shinzo Abe 2–3 Jul JNN 1,198 Fumio Kishida 60.4 34.7 4.9 25.7 1–3 Jul NHK 2,035 53.5 26.6 19.9 26.9 24–26 Jun NHK 2,049 50.2 26.6 23.1 23.6 18 Jun SSRC for Mainichi 995 48 44 8 4 18–19 Jun ANN 1,043 49 26.7 24.3 22.3 17–19 Jun NHK 2,035 54.7 24.8 20.5 29.9 14–21 Jun Morning Consult N/A 41 41 18 0 10–13 Jun Jiji Press 1,234 48.7 22 29.3 19.4 10–12 Jun NHK 1,994 58.8 23.1 18.1 35.7 8–14 Jun Morning Consult N/A 42 42 16 0 4–5 Jun JNN 1,207 64.5 31.6 3.9 32.9 3–5 Jun Yomiuri/NNN 1,485 64 26 10 38 27–29 May Nikkei/TV Tokyo 935 66 23 11 43 21–22 May ANN 1,035 51 22 27 24 21–22 May Kyodo News 1,048 61.5 21.8 16.7 39.7 21 May SSRC for Mainichi 1,041 53 37 10 16 13–16 May Jiji Press 1,254 50.8 19.2 30 20.8 13–15 May Yomiuri/NNN 1,052 63 23 14 40 6–8 May NHK 1,214 55.4 22.5 22.2 32.9 23 Apr SSRC for Mainichi 1,018 50 34 16 16 22–24 Apr Nikkei/TV Tokyo 905 64 27 9 37 8–10 Apr NHK 1,235 53 22.7 24.3 28.7 1–3 Apr Yomiuri/NNN 1,072 59 29 12 30 19–20 Mar ANN 1,008 47.8 26.3 25.9 21.5 19 Mar SSRC for Mainichi 1,040 48 38 14 10 19–20 Mar Kyodo News 1,053 60.1 21.9 18 38.2 11–14 Mar Jiji Press 1,226 50.2 21.1 28.7 21.5 11–13 Mar NHK 1,223 53.1 25.2 21.7 27.9 4–6 Mar Yomiuri/NNN 1,063 57 28 15 29 25–27 Feb Nikkei/TV Tokyo 992 55 31 14 24 19–20 Feb Kyodo News 1,054 56.6 27.4 16 29.2 19–20 Feb ANN 1,008 46.5 25.1 28.4 18.1 19 Feb SSRC for Mainichi 1,050 45 46 9 1 12–13 Feb Gunosy 1,000 17.7 41.8 40.5 1.3 12–13 Feb JX 1,004 38.6 27.5 33.9 4.7 11–14 Feb Jiji Press 1,256 43.4 25.3 31.3 12.1 11–13 Feb NHK 1,240 53.5 27.3 19.2 26.2 4–6 Feb Yomiuri/NNN 1,071 58 28 14 30 28–30 Jan Nikkei/TV Tokyo 958 59 30 11 29 22–23 Jan ANN 1,025 51.5 23.2 25.3 26.2 22–23 Jan Kyodo News 1,059 55.9 25.2 18.9 30.7 22 Jan SSRC for Mainichi 1,061 52 36 12 16 14–16 Jan Yomiuri 1,057 66 22 12 44 8–10 Jan NHK 1,219 56.8 20 23.1 33.7 7–10 Jan Jiji Press 1,292 51.7 18.7 29.6 22.1
2021 Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer Lead 18–19 Dec Asahi 1,318 Fumio Kishida 49 23 28 21 18–19 Dec ANN 1,032 51.3 24.7 24 26.6 18 Dec SSRC for Mainichi 1,023 54 36 10 18 10–12 Dec NHK 1,190 50.3 26.1 23.5 24.2 20–21 Nov ANN 1,031 45.5 26.1 28.4 17.1 10–11 Nov Kyodo News 520 60.5 23 16.5 37.5 10–11 Nov Nikkei 852 61 27 12 34 5–8 Nov Jiji Press 1,270 47.1 21.3 31.6 15.5 5–7 Nov NHK 1,208 52.8 25.3 21.9 27.5 1–2 Nov Yomiuri 1,107 56 29 15 27
See also
Notes
References ^ "岸田派 解散を正式に決定 政治資金事件受け 67年の歴史に幕". January 23, 2024. Retrieved March 8, 2024 . ^ "LDP heavyweight Nikai to disband his faction following funding scandal". NHK . 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024 . ^ "Biggest faction in Japan's ruling party decides to disband". Kyodo News . 19 January 2024. Retrieved 19 January 2024 . Africa Asia
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